Performance Snapshot
Charts
Earnings Context
Previous: 2026-04-30
Next: 2026-08-04
Days to next: 33
Avg earnings move: 12.4%
Median earnings move: 11.7%
Technical Signal Snapshot
RSI: 66.8
Direction score: 0.7422
Price vs EMA20: 17.1%
EMA20 vs EMA50: 2.6%
EMA50 vs EMA200: 2.9%
EMA20 slope: 4.4%
Options Volatility Snapshot
Label: IV near recent HV
Expiration: 2026-08-07
Days to expiration: 36
ATM average IV: 78.0%
ATM call / put IV: 76.3% / 79.7%
6M HV: 69.2%
IV minus HV: 8.8%
IV discount vs HV: -12.7%
Expected move: 21.7%
ATM Greeks
Call delta / gamma: 0.564 / 0.086063
Call theta / vega: -0.0262 / 0.0236
Put delta / gamma: -0.2712 / 0.069335
Put theta / vega: -0.0212 / 0.0199
Greeks are option-market context for the selected ATM expiration, not a trade recommendation.
Grounded Summary
- RIVN returned 10.4% over 1M, 27.8% over 3M, and -2.5% over 6M.
- Relative performance was 13.9% vs SPY and 4.8% vs QQQ over 3M.
- The thesis field is missing or needs review.
- Headline context: Fetched headlines cluster around: uncategorized (3), product/business (1), partnerships/contracts (1).
- Recent examples: Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today?
- - Yahoo Finance; Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today?
- - TradingView; Rivian Is Up 5% Today: Is It Outperforming Other EV Stocks Like Tesla and Lucid?
- - 24/7 Wall St..
- Main watch items: thesis needs review, large drawdown.
- Next earnings is listed as 2026-08-04; typical close-to-close earnings move is 12.4% on average.
- Options context: IV near recent HV; ATM average IV is 78.0% versus 6M HV 69.2%.
- Technical context: RSI 66.8 and direction score 0.7422.
- Portfolio role/theme: EVs.
- Next review question: What is the current reason for holding RIVN, and what would invalidate it?
- This is context for review, not a buy or sell recommendation.
Theme: EVs. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Auto Manufacturers.
Thesis
Status: needs_review
Thesis: missing
Invalidation: n/a
Catalyst: n/a
Risk Flags
- thesis needs review
- large drawdown
Headline Context
Fetched headlines cluster around: uncategorized (3), product/business (1), partnerships/contracts (1). Recent examples: Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today? - Yahoo Finance; Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today? - TradingView; Rivian Is Up 5% Today: Is It Outperforming Other EV Stocks Like Tesla and Lucid? - 24/7 Wall St..
Questions for Next Review
- What is the current reason for holding RIVN, and what would invalidate it? Codex: Review RIVN against trend mixed, 3M return 27.8%, and headline context before changing the thesis.
- Is RIVN's drawdown company-specific, sector-driven, or broad market beta? Codex: 6M max drawdown is -35.7% with beta SPY 1.9157999238300518 and sector Consumer Cyclical.
- Is RIVN sized for its typical earnings move? Codex: Next earnings is 2026-08-04 with typical move 12.4% and expected move 21.7%.
Headlines
Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today? Yahoo Finance
Why Is RIVN Stock Rising Today? TradingView
Rivian Is Up 5% Today: Is It Outperforming Other EV Stocks Like Tesla and Lucid? 24/7 Wall St.
RIVN Stock Defies Tornado Setback With R2 Production Kickstart Stocktwits
RIVN Stock Jumps As R2 Deliveries, 5G Deal Boost EV Story StocksToTrade
Evidence
JSON: /home/amirali/Documents/code/portfolio-analytics/outputs/evidence/RIVN.json
Markdown: /home/amirali/Documents/code/portfolio-analytics/outputs/evidence/RIVN.md