Performance Snapshot
Charts
Earnings Context
Previous: 2026-06-24
Next: 2026-09-23
Days to next: 83
Avg earnings move: 7.0%
Median earnings move: 5.3%
Technical Signal Snapshot
RSI: 50.4
Direction score: 0.4411
Price vs EMA20: -3.1%
EMA20 vs EMA50: 18.0%
EMA50 vs EMA200: 67.8%
EMA20 slope: 3.0%
Options Volatility Snapshot
Label: IV near recent HV
Expiration: 2026-08-07
Days to expiration: 36
ATM average IV: 95.5%
ATM call / put IV: 86.4% / 104.6%
6M HV: 90.3%
IV minus HV: 5.2%
IV discount vs HV: -5.8%
Expected move: 28.3%
ATM Greeks
Call delta / gamma: 0.5596 / 0.001441
Call theta / vega: -1.5621 / 1.25
Put delta / gamma: -0.4301 / 0.001185
Put theta / vega: -1.731 / 1.2447
Greeks are option-market context for the selected ATM expiration, not a trade recommendation.
Grounded Summary
- MU returned -5.2% over 1M, 174.3% over 3M, and 244.8% over 6M.
- Relative performance was 160.4% vs SPY and 151.2% vs QQQ over 3M.
- The thesis field is missing or needs review.
- Headline context: Fetched headlines cluster around: uncategorized (4), earnings (1).
- Recent examples: Trump Calls Micron a ‘Great’ Company, the Stock Is Falling - Barron's; Buy or Sell Micron Stock?
- (My Final Verdict) - The Motley Fool; Here's Why I Will Never Pay Anywhere Near $1,100 for Micron Stock - Yahoo Finance.
- Main watch items: thesis needs review, high volatility.
- Next earnings is listed as 2026-09-23; typical close-to-close earnings move is 7.0% on average.
- Options context: IV near recent HV; ATM average IV is 95.5% versus 6M HV 90.3%.
- Technical context: RSI 50.4 and direction score 0.4411.
- Portfolio role/theme: Semiconductors.
- Next review question: What is the current reason for holding MU, and what would invalidate it?
- This is context for review, not a buy or sell recommendation.
Theme: Semiconductors. Sector: Technology. Industry: Semiconductors.
Thesis
Status: needs_review
Thesis: missing
Invalidation: n/a
Catalyst: n/a
Risk Flags
- thesis needs review
- high volatility
Headline Context
Fetched headlines cluster around: uncategorized (4), earnings (1). Recent examples: Trump Calls Micron a ‘Great’ Company, the Stock Is Falling - Barron's; Buy or Sell Micron Stock? (My Final Verdict) - The Motley Fool; Here's Why I Will Never Pay Anywhere Near $1,100 for Micron Stock - Yahoo Finance.
Questions for Next Review
- What is the current reason for holding MU, and what would invalidate it? Codex: Review MU against trend above 50d and 200d, 3M return 174.3%, and headline context before changing the thesis.
- Is MU's volatility expected for its role in the portfolio? Codex: 6M realized volatility is 90.3% and options context is IV near recent HV.
Headlines
Trump Calls Micron a ‘Great’ Company, the Stock Is Falling Barron's
Buy or Sell Micron Stock? (My Final Verdict) The Motley Fool
Here's Why I Will Never Pay Anywhere Near $1,100 for Micron Stock Yahoo Finance
Morningstar Warns Of 30% Crash In AI Stocks, Is It Time To Sell Micron? 24/7 Wall St.
Buy, Hold, or Sell Micron (MU) Stock After Its Record Q3 Results? Zacks Investment Research
Evidence
JSON: /home/amirali/Documents/code/portfolio-analytics/outputs/evidence/MU.json
Markdown: /home/amirali/Documents/code/portfolio-analytics/outputs/evidence/MU.md